February, 2003
© 2000 Scott S. Emerson, M.D., Ph.D.
Session 4: 91
Selected Bayesian Analysis Results
Uniform prior
Obs Tox              E(p|S)         Pr(p<0.2|S)         Pr(p>0.5|S)
   0 / 1 .333 .360 .250
   1 / 1 .667 .040 .750
   2 / 2 .500 .104 .500
   2 / 2 .750 .008 .875
   2 / 3 .600 .027 .688
   3 / 3 .800 .002 .938
   3 / 4 .667 .007 .812
   3 / 5 .571 .017 .656
   4 / 5 .714 .002 .891