Ad hoc prior (uniform mass on null: 0.5)
Obs Tox E(p|S) Pr(p<0.2|S) Pr(p>0.5|S)
0 / 1 .209 .628 .091
1 / 1 .471 .176 .460
2 / 2 .365 .289 .271
2 / 2 .590 .050 .671
2 / 3 .483 .104 .476
3 / 3 .664 .013 .808
3 / 4 .565 .032 .646
3 / 5 .490 .061 .485
4 / 5 .623 .009 .770