February, 2003
© 2000 Scott S. Emerson, M.D., Ph.D.
Session 4: 93
Selected Bayesian Analysis Results
Ad hoc prior (uniform mass on null: 0.8)
Obs Tox              E(p|S)         Pr(p<0.2|S)         Pr(p>0.5|S)
   0 / 1 .135 .871 .031
   1 / 1 .354 .462 .300
   2 / 2 .256 .619 .145
   2 / 2 .532 .174 .584
   2 / 3 .404 .316 .363
   3 / 3 .645 .049 .778
   3 / 4 .530 .116 .590
   3 / 5 .438 .208 .410
   4 / 5 .611 .035 .750