February, 2003
© 2000, 2001, 2003 Scott S. Emerson, M.D., Ph.D.
The
criticism of Bayesian inference is that we usually do not know the prior
probability of a beneficial treatment
As we have
seen, the predictive values are very sensitive to the choice of prior
distribution
Possible
remedies:
·Use data
from previous experiments
·Use
subjective opinion or consensus of experts
·Do a
sensitivity analysis over many different choices for the prior
distribution
·Use
frequentist approaches