February, 2003
© 2000, 2001, 2003 Scott S. Emerson, M.D., Ph.D.
Hierarchy of Statistical Goals: 17
Bayesian Inference
The criticism of Bayesian inference is that we usually do not know the prior probability of a beneficial treatment
As we have seen, the predictive values are very sensitive to the choice of prior distribution
Possible remedies:
·Use data from previous experiments
·Use subjective opinion or consensus of experts
·Do a sensitivity analysis over many different choices for the prior distribution
·Use frequentist approaches